Mikel Oyarzabal and Luis Díaz tipped for World Cup 2026 Golden Boot

Mikel Oyarzabal and Luis Díaz are the only outsiders with explicit odds to win the World Cup 2026 Golden Boot. Oyarzabal is priced at 14/1 with 247bet, while Díaz carries a 50/1 each‑way price with bet365. No player has ever won the award twice, a feat Kylian Mbappé would achieve if he succeeded. Oyarzabal will line up as Spain’s first‑choice No 9 and designated penalty taker in Group H, which includes Cabo Verde, Saudi Arabia and Uruguay. He averaged a goal every 74 minutes in qualifying and scored the winner in the Euro 2024 final. Current market prices list him at 14/1 for the Golden Boot and 2/1 to be Spain’s top scorer. Luis Díaz is Colombia’s left‑sided forward and main goal threat in Group K, facing Uzbekistan, DR Congo and Portugal. He recorded 26 club goals for Bayern Munich in the 2025‑26 season and netted seven in CONMEBOL qualifying, second only to Lionel Messi. His odds stand at 50/1 each‑way for the Golden Boot and 6/4 to finish as Colombia’s top scorer. Spain’s attack is built around Oyarzabal, with midfield supply from Pedri and Fabián Ruiz and width from Ferran Torres and Yeremy Pino. Lamine Yamal and Nico Williams are being managed back from injury and may be eased in during the opening games. The structure channels most scoring chances to the central striker. Colombia’s forward line features Luis Suárez centrally, captain James Rodríguez orchestrating play at No 10 and taking penalties, and Díaz cutting in from the left. Supporting roles are provided by Jhon Arias and Richard Ríos. This arrangement places Díaz as the primary open‑play threat. Spain enter the tournament as favourites and face a relatively soft Group H, with Cabo Verde and Saudi Arabia expected to offer limited resistance before the Uruguay test. Oyarzabal’s goal‑every‑74‑minutes rate in qualifying and his Euro 2024 final winner reinforce his candidacy. His penalty‑taking duty adds a free source of goals. Colombia’s opening fixtures against Uzbekistan and DR Congo provide Díaz with a soft start to accumulate goals before meeting Portugal. His Bayern form and seven qualifier goals place him among the most in‑form attackers. Because James Rodríguez, not Díaz, assumes penalty duties, the bet relies on open‑play scoring. Bet365 offers Oyarzabal at 14/1 to claim the Golden Boot, while Sky Bet lists him at 2/1 to be Spain’s top scorer. Bet365 also carries Díaz at 50/1 each‑way for the Golden Boot, and 247bet prices him at 6/4 to top Colombia’s scoring chart. Both players match the textbook profile of a deep‑running tournament striker.